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2024-12-13 12:03:45

Australian Government: Australia will provide Papua New Guinea with $600 million in 10 years to help rugby league teams enter Australia's top leagues.The Embassy of China in Sudan once again reminds China citizens not to go to Sudan for the time being, and to leave the Sudan as soon as possible if there is no necessary reason. Recently, air strikes and shelling incidents have occurred frequently in Sudan, causing a large number of civilian casualties and the overall security risks remain high. The Embassy in Sudan once again reminded China citizens not to go to Sudan in the near future, and suggested that citizens in China should leave the country as soon as possible if there is no need to stay in the country.Guotai Junan: The long-term incremental "option" brought by humanoid robots is expected to help the valuation of the rare earth sector rise. When looking forward to the strategy of the rare earth sector in 2025, Guotai Junan said that the market had expected that with the slowdown in the growth of core demand power such as new energy vehicles and wind power in the future, the demand for rare earth markets is under downward pressure. However, we expect that the rising consumption of magnetic materials for new energy vehicles and the warming demand for wind power are still expected to support the basic demand growth, and the demand for equipment renewal that began to land in 2024 is expected to become a new driving force for rare earth demand. On the supply side, an orderly pattern of domestic supply has been established, with many overseas planning increments but slow actual volume, and continuous supply-side constraints. In addition, the long-term incremental "options" brought by humanoid robots are also expected to help the valuation of the plate rise.


Guosheng Securities Xiongyuan: We can be more optimistic about the policy and the market. "The biggest highlight of this Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party is' face the problem and prescribe the right medicine'." Xiong Yuan, chief economist of Guosheng Securities, said that many new ideas and expressions of the meeting directly pointed to various challenges that China's economy urgently needs to solve, and made a strong response to various problems. Xiong Yuan pointed out that the market can be more firm in policy strength and policy determination for at least one and a half years in the future. In the future, the imagination of policies is relatively large.The Chinese Consulate General in Los Angeles reminded citizens in China to take precautions against mountain fires. Recently, a sudden mountain fire disaster occurred in Malibu, California, USA, causing evacuation and some property losses. The Consulate General in Los Angeles would like to remind China citizens in the consular district to pay attention to the dynamics of mountain fires in a timely manner, make reasonable arrangements for travel, and avoid going to relevant areas; Comply with the local government's disaster avoidance and evacuation guidelines; Scientific protection to reduce the impact of mountain fire smoke on health.CICC: Inflation in the United States may push the "hawks to cut interest rates". The CICC research report said that inflation data opened the door for the Fed to cut interest rates next week, but we also predicted that the "hawks to cut interest rates" will be staged next week, and the Fed may cut the guidance on interest rate cuts in the bitmap. We predict that the new bitmap will show that the total interest rate will be cut twice in 2025 (compared with four times before), and the federal funds rate will be lowered to a neutral level of 3.75% to 4% by the end of the second quarter of next year.


Huatai Securities looks forward to the communication industry in 2025: embrace the trend of AI/ satellite industry and allocate core assets. When looking forward to the communication industry in 2025, Huatai Securities said that it is optimistic about three main investment lines: 1) Continue to embrace the industry trend, and with the progress of commercialization of AI computing chain and satellite Internet, we are optimistic about investment opportunities in related sub-sectors; 2) New quality productivity: low-altitude industries or the opening of provincial and municipal infrastructure construction, the domestic quantum communication industry is expected to go from 0 to 1, and the commercial aviation scene will be accelerated; 3) revaluation of core assets: with the improvement of market liquidity, leading enterprises with long-term competitiveness and performance toughness are expected to usher in opportunities for valuation improvement; In addition, the merger and reorganization of central state-owned enterprises is expected to promote more high-quality enterprises to complete the process of capitalization and play a positive role in the valuation of the sector.Huajin Securities: Concerned about the impact of high-quality IP on e-sports and games going to sea, Huajin Securities Research Report pointed out that 1) On December 11th, the 2024 China E-sports Industry Annual Conference was held in Beijing, and the 2024 E-sports Annual Report was released during the conference. The data showed that the e-sports industry showed a positive development trend. "High-quality IP+ games" resonance mode or long-term empowerment game industry development. 2) The popularity of Marvel Comics is unprecedented, and the head manufacturers inject new IP vitality into the game. The achievements of "Marvel Comics Strive for the Front" may set a benchmark for the market, open the world fun competition+high-quality IP or give birth to new topics. 3) "Adapting to local conditions" is both internal and external, and the IP effect is remarkable. Based on the model of Watching Pioneer 2, the "big IP+ competition" has been deeply cultivated. The globalization has brought unprecedented popularity to Marvel Comics, and its novel model is expected to give full play to the value of high-quality IP, provide guidance and reference for industrial development, and empower the development of the game industry for a long time. 4) The annual meeting of e-sports industry was held, and the data showed that China e-sports was full of vitality. High-quality IP+ games are expected to continue to inject vitality into the game industry, paying attention to the impact of high-quality IP on e-sports and games going to sea.Australia's 3-year government bond yield rose by 10 basis points, and the Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rate cut is expected to cool down.

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